Herring in Subarea IV, Division VIId and Division IIIa are now managed under an adjusted EU-Norway management plan which was agreed upon in November 2008. This plan takes into account the recent poor recruitment.
The main elements of the plan are to maintain SSB above 800,000 tonnes ( Blim); to limit TAC by ± 15% from the TAC of the preceding year; a fishing mortality of 0.25 for adult fish and 0.05 for juvenile fish if the SSB is above 1.5 million tonnes (the trigger biomass Btrig); if SSB is between Btrig and Blim then the fishing mortality will be set between 0.25 and 0.10 for adult fish, depending on SSB, and no more than 0.05 for juvenile fish; if SSB falls below Blim then a fishing mortality of no more than 0.10 for adult fish and 0.04 for juvenile fish will be set.
A reduction in fishing mortality to close to the target fishing mortality is expected to be achieved in 2009. The SSB is expected to increase slightly both in 2010 and further in 2011, indicating that the current management has the potential to reverse the decline in the stock and stabilise it above the present level. The 2008 year class is estimated to be within the range of recent low recruitments. ICES assumes that the recruitment will remain around the current low level. Delay in implementing substantial reductions in catch by not following the management plan has resulted in the SSB being at greater risk of being below Blim and lower catches.
Seven catch forecasts were presented, to show a range of options for differing overall exploitation rates, based on an interpretation of the harvest control rule or other options:
- No fishing
- Catches that are estimated to lead to SSB> Bpa in 2011
- A 15% decrease in the main North Sea fleet TAC between 2009 and 2010
- The EU-Norway management plan with 40% catch increase for herring fleets in the Skagerrak and Kattegat
- The EU-Norway management plan
- A roll-over TAC from 2009 to 2010 of 171,000 tonnes for the main North Sea fleet
- A 15% increase in the main North Sea fleet TAC between 2009 and 2010.
ICES advises that exploitation for 2010 is based on option e) above; the agreed EU–Norway management plan. Following this plan implies catches in 2010 of 164,300 t for the directed herring fisheries in the North Sea.
Council Regulation ( EC) No 1300/2008 of 18 December 2008 established a multi-annual management agreement for the stock of herring distributed to the west of Scotland and the fisheries exploiting that stock. The plan is based on the following rule:
| F = 0.25 If SSB > 75,000 t | 20% TAC constraint. |
| F = 0.20 If SSB < 75,000 t but > 62,500 t | 20% constraint on TAC change. |
| F = 0.20 If SSB < 62,500 t but > 50,000 t | 25% constraint on TAC change. |
| F = 0 If SSB < 50,000 t. |
There is derogation from the above constraints. If the Scientific, Technical and Economic Committee for Fisheries (STECF) considers that the herring stock in the area west of Scotland is failing properly to recover, the TAC constraints may differ from those in the management agreement.
Following the agreed management plan implies catches of no more than 24,420 tonnes in 2010, which is expected to lead to an SSB of 96,000 t in 2011. The agreed management plan is consistent with the precautionary approach.
Area misreporting continues to be a problem with vessels catching fish from other areas and reporting into VIa North. This has lead to uncertainty in the amount of fish landed that is actually from stocks to the west of Scotland, although more routine use of a vessel monitoring system (VMS) has reduced this problem from past uncertainties.
The 2009 assessment shows an upward revision of the spawning stock biomass and a subsequent downward revision of F, in comparison to 2008.
The basis for the advice in 2009 has also changed from that in 2008. In 2008 the advice was for a reduction in TAC. For 2009 the advice was for an increase in catch in line with the new agreed management plan.
| These figures are provisional | EU TAC |
UK Share |
| North Sea |
93,773 | 24,223 |
| West coast |
24,480 | 15,076 |
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