ICES has evaluated this EU–Norway management plan and concluded that the target FHCR = 0.3 with TAC constraint ±15% leads on average to a <5% risk of B < Blim within the next 20 years. Increasing the target FHCR increases the risk. Although the management plan has not been fully tested (e.g. at lower fishing mortalities), ICES concludes that the management plan can provisionally be accepted as precautionary and be used as the basis for advice. Interannual quota flexibility has also been evaluated and it is concluded that this has no significant impact on sustainability.
ICES advises that the exploitation of North Sea and IIIa haddock be based on the agreed management plan. This would imply landings of 38,000 tonnes in 2010, which would lead to an SSB of 185,000 tonnes in 2011. The ±15% constraint on interannual TAC variability has been invoked in this case, decreasing the proposed 2010 landings compared to the 2009 quota.
Discards of haddock in 2006 and 2007 were fairly substantial due to the moderately sized 2005 year class entering the fishery, but were considerably lower in 2008, possibly due to the growth of the 2005 year class past the minimum landing size. Further improvements to gear selectivity would reduce the amount discarded by allowing the release of undersized fish. This would not only be beneficial for haddock stocks, but also juveniles of other species that occur in mixed fisheries where haddock are caught.
Due to the 2006 – 2008 year classes being weak, even at the current low level of fishing mortality the spawning stock biomass is likely to continue to decline from 2010 onwards unless a moderate to strong year class appears. Early indications from surveys suggest that the 2009 year-class will be rather better, although it is too early to determine the extent to which this will contribute to the fishable stock.
ICES have recommended the development of a management plan, which would offer maximum protection to the [west of Scotland] haddock, while recognizing that it is caught in a mixed fishery. Special attention needs to be given to the sporadic nature of the haddock recruitment and how to manage periods of low recruitment interspersed with large, occasional pulses. In recent years around 50% of the total catch in weight has been discarded, so restricting landings alone may not achieve the necessary increase in SSB. Mainly 1- to 4-year-old haddock are discarded.
With recent recruitments since 2004 being relatively poor, ICES advised a complete closure of the haddock fishery in 2010. Doing so would bring SSB very close to Bpa in 2011.
Last year's assessment indicated that SSB would continue to decline as the 1999 year class moves out of the population and recent recruitment continues to be poor; the current assessment is consistent with this.
At present there are no management objectives in place for the Rockall stock. Yet there is a need for an internationally agreed plan. Such a plan should involve extensive collaboration between stakeholders, scientists, and management authorities in both the design and the monitoring of conservation measures.
Fishing mortality around F0.1 (0.18) can be considered as a candidate target reference point consistent with taking high long-term yields and achieving a low risk of depleting the productive potential (< 5%). The present fishing mortality (0.23) is above the candidate reference point, but below Fpa.
Even though SSB is expected to remain above Bpa in the short term, the recruitment for the last three years has been low. Providing advice on the basis of precautionary reference points and increasing fishing mortality to Fpa in 2010 would result in a 28% reduction in SSB by 2011.
ICES advises that there is little gain on the long term yield by increasing fishing mortality above current levels. For 2010, ICES recommends limiting catches to 4,280 tonnes, of which 3,330 tonnes are landings.
The TAC only applies to catches in the EU zone. It should apply to all areas and countries having fisheries for this stock. Since 1999 part of Division VIb has been in international waters where non- EU vessels are not subject to TAC. This allows for an unregulated fishery in the Rockall area. In addition, misreporting and discarding can lead to removals that exceed the TAC.
In comparison with previous assessment and advice, the overall trends are similar to those obtained last year. Estimates of fishing mortality have been revised upwards by 7%, and SSB has been revised downwards by 9% for the last year.
The basis for the advice is the same as last year.
|
These figures are provisional |
UK Share |
|
| North Sea | 26,965 | 22,698 |
| West Coast | 2,673 | 2,053 |
| < Prec. | Succ. > |
|---|





















