In the event that SSB falls below Blim a TAC may be decided upon by a fishing mortality rate that will be less than one determined by the above formula.
ICES concluded that the management plan is precautionary, assuming that the TAC equals the total removals from the stock.
For 2010 ICES advises a 5 – 13% decrease in TAC. This is in line with fishing mortality rates set out in the management plan (F between 0.20 and 0.22) and implies catches between 527,000 and 572,000 tonnes. The SSB is expected to remain stable in 2011 for a catch in this range.
Catches in 2007 and 2008 have been considerably in excess of the ICES' advice. The absence of effective international agreements on the exploitation of the stock (between all nations involved in the fishery) is a cause of concern and prevents control of the exploitation rate of the stock. According to the short-term forecast, the total estimated catch in 2009 results in an estimated fishing mortality of 0.31, which is above that stipulated in the management plan (it should be noted that this F would be lower without the significant additional catches in excess of the TAC). The 2010 TAC advice given above should apply to all areas fished.
Mackerel is mainly exploited in a directed fishery for human consumption. This fishery tends to target bigger fish and there is evidence that this causes discarding of smaller, less marketable fish.
In June 2009, an agreement was concluded between contracting parties to the Coastal States on mackerel banning high-grading, discarding, and slipping from pelagic fisheries targeting mackerel, horse mackerel, and herring beginning in January 2010.
| These figures are provisional | EU TAC |
UK Share |
| North Sea mackerel | 22,382 | 1,395 |
| West of Scotland mackerel | 295,366 | 172,268 |
| < Prec. | Succ. > |
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